Havelse vs Stuttgart II Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Havelse vs Stuttgart II
Model pick: Stuttgart II (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.99
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Havelse | Stuttgart II |
|---|
| League position | #7 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2.6 / 2.0 |
*Havelse shown at home, Stuttgart II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Havelse — last 5
LWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Stuttgart II — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Havelse (home) | Stuttgart II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Nassim Boujellab (5) | Deniz Zeitler (11) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Havelse or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Stuttgart II or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Havelse clean sheet | 14% |
| Stuttgart II clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stuttgart II is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Stuttgart II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Havelse vs Stuttgart II — FAQ
Who will win Havelse vs Stuttgart II?
Our statistical model makes Stuttgart II the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Havelse 31%, draw 23%, Stuttgart II 46%.
Will both teams score in Havelse vs Stuttgart II?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Havelse vs Stuttgart II?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Havelse and 1.99 for Stuttgart II — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Havelse vs Stuttgart II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (8%). Double chance for Havelse or draw is 56%.