Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (GERMANY)
Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim
Model pick: Waldhof Mannheim (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.96
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Havelse | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #7 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 3.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Havelse shown at home, Waldhof Mannheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Havelse — last 5
DLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 13% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Waldhof Mannheim — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Havelse (home) | Waldhof Mannheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (3.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 13% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Nassim Boujellab (5) | Felix Lohkemper (12) |
3 Liga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.9
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 58%
Use these 3 Liga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 1.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Havelse or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Waldhof Mannheim or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| Havelse clean sheet | 14% |
| Waldhof Mannheim clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Waldhof Mannheim is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Waldhof Mannheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim — FAQ
Who will win Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Our statistical model makes Waldhof Mannheim the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Havelse 32%, draw 23%, Waldhof Mannheim 45%.
Will both teams score in Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Expected goals are 1.59 for Havelse and 1.96 for Waldhof Mannheim — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Havelse vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Havelse or draw is 53%.