Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim
Model pick: Havlickuv Brod (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 7.38 – 1.48
Total goals: 8.9
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Havlickuv Brod | Kurim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 2.2 |
*Havlickuv Brod shown at home, Kurim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Havlickuv Brod — last 5
WLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kurim — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Havlickuv Brod (home) | Kurim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.39
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (7.38 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 7-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Havlickuv Brod or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Kurim or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Havlickuv Brod clean sheet | 23% |
| Kurim clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Havlickuv Brod is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Havlickuv Brod are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.9, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim — FAQ
Who will win Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim?
Our statistical model makes Havlickuv Brod the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Havlickuv Brod 94%, draw 3%, Kurim 2%.
Will both teams score in Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim?
Expected goals are 7.38 for Havlickuv Brod and 1.48 for Kurim — about 8.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Havlickuv Brod vs Kurim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 7-1 (7%). Double chance for Havlickuv Brod or draw is 98%.