HB vs 07 Vestur Prediction & Preview
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FORMULADEILDIN (FAROEISLANDS)
HB vs 07 Vestur
Model pick: HB (77%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.97 – 0.75
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| HB | 07 Vestur |
|---|
| League position | #3 (33 pts) | #9 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
*HB shown at home, 07 Vestur shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
HB — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 76% of home games go over 2.5.
07 Vestur — last 5
DLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | HB (home) | 07 Vestur (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-2 in 9 (1.9 / 1.2 goals per game) | 2-1-6 in 9 (0.6 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 71% |
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.28
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.97 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — HB or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — 07 Vestur or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| HB clean sheet | 47% |
| 07 Vestur clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
HB is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. HB are backed at home, where they average 2.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ HB vs 07 Vestur — FAQ
Who will win HB vs 07 Vestur?
Our statistical model makes HB the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: HB 77%, draw 15%, 07 Vestur 9%.
Will both teams score in HB vs 07 Vestur?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in HB vs 07 Vestur?
Expected goals are 2.97 for HB and 0.75 for 07 Vestur — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in HB vs 07 Vestur?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for HB or draw is 94%.