Hebburn Town vs Worksop Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Hebburn Town vs Worksop
Model pick: Hebburn Town (71%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.24 – 1.23
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hebburn Town | Worksop |
|---|
| League position | #20 (0 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 2.2 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*Hebburn Town shown at home, Worksop shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hebburn Town — last 5
DDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Worksop — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hebburn Town (home) | Worksop (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 58% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.24 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Hebburn Town or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Worksop or draw (X2) | 24% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Hebburn Town clean sheet | 29% |
| Worksop clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hebburn Town is the model's most likely outcome at
71%. Hebburn Town are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hebburn Town vs Worksop — FAQ
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Worksop?
Our statistical model makes Hebburn Town the most likely result at 71%. Full probabilities: Hebburn Town 71%, draw 16%, Worksop 14%.
Will both teams score in Hebburn Town vs Worksop?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hebburn Town vs Worksop?
Expected goals are 3.24 for Hebburn Town and 1.23 for Worksop — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hebburn Town vs Worksop?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Hebburn Town or draw is 89%.