Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen
Model pick: Kaltenkirchen (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.81 – 11.13
Total goals: 11.9
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Heider SV | Kaltenkirchen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
*Heider SV shown at home, Kaltenkirchen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Heider SV — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kaltenkirchen — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Heider SV (home) | Kaltenkirchen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.81 vs 11.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (17%) |
| Double chance — Heider SV or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Kaltenkirchen or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Heider SV clean sheet | 0% |
| Kaltenkirchen clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kaltenkirchen is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Kaltenkirchen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen — FAQ
Who will win Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen?
Our statistical model makes Kaltenkirchen the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Heider SV 0%, draw 0%, Kaltenkirchen 100%.
Will both teams score in Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen?
Expected goals are 0.81 for Heider SV and 11.13 for Kaltenkirchen — about 11.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Heider SV vs Kaltenkirchen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (17%). Double chance for Heider SV or draw is 0%.