Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen
Model pick: Heimstetten (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Heimstetten | Deisenhofen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Heimstetten shown at home, Deisenhofen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Heimstetten — last 5
WWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Deisenhofen — last 5
LWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Heimstetten (home) | Deisenhofen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Heimstetten or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Deisenhofen or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Heimstetten clean sheet | 37% |
| Deisenhofen clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Heimstetten is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Heimstetten are backed at home, where they average 0.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen — FAQ
Who will win Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen?
Our statistical model makes Heimstetten the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Heimstetten 42%, draw 29%, Deisenhofen 29%.
Will both teams score in Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Heimstetten and 1.0 for Deisenhofen — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Heimstetten vs Deisenhofen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Heimstetten or draw is 71%.