Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing
Model pick: Heimstetten (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.34 – 1.44
Total goals: 3.8
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Heimstetten | Hankofen-Hailing |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Heimstetten shown at home, Hankofen-Hailing shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Heimstetten — last 5
LLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Hankofen-Hailing — last 5
LWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Heimstetten (home) | Hankofen-Hailing (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.34 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Heimstetten or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Hankofen-Hailing or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Heimstetten clean sheet | 24% |
| Hankofen-Hailing clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Heimstetten is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Heimstetten are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.8, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing — FAQ
Who will win Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Our statistical model makes Heimstetten the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Heimstetten 54%, draw 21%, Hankofen-Hailing 25%.
Will both teams score in Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing?
Expected goals are 2.34 for Heimstetten and 1.44 for Hankofen-Hailing — about 3.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Heimstetten vs Hankofen-Hailing?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Heimstetten or draw is 77%.