Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham
Model pick: Hemel Hempstead Town (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.53 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Farnham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Hemel Hempstead Town shown at home, Farnham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hemel Hempstead Town — last 5
DWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Farnham — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hemel Hempstead Town (home) | Farnham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 80% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.53 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Hemel Hempstead Town or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Farnham or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Hemel Hempstead Town clean sheet | 38% |
| Farnham clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hemel Hempstead Town is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Hemel Hempstead Town are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham — FAQ
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham?
Our statistical model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Hemel Hempstead Town 48%, draw 27%, Farnham 26%.
Will both teams score in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham?
Expected goals are 1.53 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.98 for Farnham — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Hemel Hempstead Town or draw is 76%.