Heming vs Valerenga 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Heming vs Valerenga 2
Model pick: Heming (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.32 – 3.61
Total goals: 7.9
Over 2.5: 90%
Both teams score: 82%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Heming | Valerenga 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 |
*Heming shown at home, Valerenga 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Heming — last 5
WWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Valerenga 2 — last 5
LWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Heming (home) | Valerenga 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.32 vs 3.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-3 (4%) |
| Double chance — Heming or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Valerenga 2 or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Heming clean sheet | 3% |
| Valerenga 2 clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Heming is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Heming are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.9, this shapes as an open game (90% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Heming vs Valerenga 2 — FAQ
Who will win Heming vs Valerenga 2?
Our statistical model makes Heming the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Heming 50%, draw 16%, Valerenga 2 34%.
Will both teams score in Heming vs Valerenga 2?
The model gives a 82% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Heming vs Valerenga 2?
Expected goals are 4.32 for Heming and 3.61 for Valerenga 2 — about 7.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Heming vs Valerenga 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-3 (4%). Double chance for Heming or draw is 66%.