Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast
Model pick: Henan Jianye (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.07
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Henan Jianye | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|
| League position | #11 (22 pts) | #2 (31 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Henan Jianye shown at home, Qingdao West Coast shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Henan Jianye — last 5
LWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao West Coast — last 5
LDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Henan Jianye (home) | Qingdao West Coast (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-4 in 10 (1.5 / 1.2 goals per game) | 3-3-4 in 10 (1.1 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 61% |
| Top scorer | Nazario Bruno (8) | Nelson Da Luz (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.6 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Henan Jianye or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Qingdao West Coast or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Henan Jianye clean sheet | 34% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Henan Jianye is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Henan Jianye are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast — FAQ
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast?
Our statistical model makes Henan Jianye the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Henan Jianye 56%, draw 24%, Qingdao West Coast 20%.
Will both teams score in Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast?
Expected goals are 1.6 for Henan Jianye and 1.07 for Qingdao West Coast — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Henan Jianye vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Henan Jianye or draw is 75%.