Hennef vs Bornheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hennef vs Bornheim
Model pick: Bornheim (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.46 – 0.88
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hennef | Bornheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 1.0 |
*Hennef shown at home, Bornheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hennef — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Bornheim — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hennef (home) | Bornheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.46 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Hennef or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Bornheim or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Hennef clean sheet | 41% |
| Bornheim clean sheet | 63% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bornheim is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Bornheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hennef vs Bornheim — FAQ
Who will win Hennef vs Bornheim?
Our statistical model makes Bornheim the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Hennef 20%, draw 38%, Bornheim 42%.
Will both teams score in Hennef vs Bornheim?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hennef vs Bornheim?
Expected goals are 0.46 for Hennef and 0.88 for Bornheim — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hennef vs Bornheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (26%). Double chance for Hennef or draw is 56%.