Hereford vs Radcliffe Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Hereford vs Radcliffe
Model pick: Hereford (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.79 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hereford | Radcliffe |
|---|
| League position | #3 (0 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
*Hereford shown at home, Radcliffe shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hereford — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Radcliffe — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hereford (home) | Radcliffe (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 52% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.79 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Hereford or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Radcliffe or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Hereford clean sheet | 25% |
| Radcliffe clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hereford is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Hereford are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hereford vs Radcliffe — FAQ
Who will win Hereford vs Radcliffe?
Our statistical model makes Hereford the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Hereford 45%, draw 24%, Radcliffe 31%.
Will both teams score in Hereford vs Radcliffe?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hereford vs Radcliffe?
Expected goals are 1.79 for Hereford and 1.4 for Radcliffe — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hereford vs Radcliffe?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Hereford or draw is 70%.