Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II
Model pick: Herrestads AIF (86%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.61 – 0.6
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Herrestads AIF | Karlstad II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Herrestads AIF shown at home, Karlstad II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Herrestads AIF — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Karlstad II — last 5
LLDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Herrestads AIF (home) | Karlstad II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.61 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Herrestads AIF or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Karlstad II or draw (X2) | 10% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Herrestads AIF clean sheet | 55% |
| Karlstad II clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Herrestads AIF is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Herrestads AIF are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II — FAQ
Who will win Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II?
Our statistical model makes Herrestads AIF the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Herrestads AIF 86%, draw 10%, Karlstad II 5%.
Will both teams score in Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II?
Expected goals are 3.61 for Herrestads AIF and 0.6 for Karlstad II — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Herrestads AIF vs Karlstad II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (12%). Double chance for Herrestads AIF or draw is 97%.