Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF
Model pick: Herrestads AIF (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 25.1 – 2.11
Total goals: 27.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 3%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Herrestads AIF | Vanersborgs IF |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.5 |
*Herrestads AIF shown at home, Vanersborgs IF shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Herrestads AIF — last 5
WWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vanersborgs IF — last 5
DL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Herrestads AIF (home) | Vanersborgs IF (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.96
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (25.1 vs 2.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-2 (19%) |
| Double chance — Herrestads AIF or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Vanersborgs IF or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Herrestads AIF clean sheet | 12% |
| Vanersborgs IF clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Herrestads AIF is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Herrestads AIF are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF — FAQ
Who will win Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF?
Our statistical model makes Herrestads AIF the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Herrestads AIF 100%, draw 0%, Vanersborgs IF 0%.
Will both teams score in Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF?
The model gives a 3% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF?
Expected goals are 25.1 for Herrestads AIF and 2.11 for Vanersborgs IF — about 27.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Herrestads AIF vs Vanersborgs IF?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-2 (19%). Double chance for Herrestads AIF or draw is 100%.