Hertha Wels vs Admira Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Hertha Wels vs Admira
Model pick: Admira (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.39
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hertha Wels | Admira |
|---|
| League position | #12 (4 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Hertha Wels shown at home, Admira shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hertha Wels — last 5
WLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Admira — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hertha Wels (home) | Admira (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 56% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.08 vs 1.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Hertha Wels or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Admira or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Hertha Wels clean sheet | 25% |
| Admira clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Admira is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Admira edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hertha Wels vs Admira — FAQ
Who will win Hertha Wels vs Admira?
Our statistical model makes Admira the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Hertha Wels 35%, draw 27%, Admira 38%.
Will both teams score in Hertha Wels vs Admira?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hertha Wels vs Admira?
Expected goals are 1.08 for Hertha Wels and 1.39 for Admira — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hertha Wels vs Admira?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Hertha Wels or draw is 56%.