Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II
Model pick: Hertha Wels (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.77 – 1.29
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hertha Wels | Rapid Wien II |
|---|
| League position | #6 (3 pts) | #8 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 3.2 / 1.2 |
*Hertha Wels shown at home, Rapid Wien II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hertha Wels — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 31% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapid Wien II — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hertha Wels (home) | Rapid Wien II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 67% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.77 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Hertha Wels or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien II or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Hertha Wels clean sheet | 28% |
| Rapid Wien II clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hertha Wels is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Hertha Wels are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II — FAQ
Who will win Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II?
Our statistical model makes Hertha Wels the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Hertha Wels 43%, draw 25%, Rapid Wien II 31%.
Will both teams score in Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II?
Expected goals are 1.77 for Hertha Wels and 1.29 for Rapid Wien II — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hertha Wels vs Rapid Wien II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Hertha Wels or draw is 72%.