Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim
Model pick: Gonsenheim (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.71 – 1.03
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hertha Wiesbach | Gonsenheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 1.33 |
*Hertha Wiesbach shown at home, Gonsenheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hertha Wiesbach — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Gonsenheim — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hertha Wiesbach (home) | Gonsenheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.71 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (18%) |
| Double chance — Hertha Wiesbach or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Gonsenheim or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Hertha Wiesbach clean sheet | 36% |
| Gonsenheim clean sheet | 49% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gonsenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Gonsenheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim — FAQ
Who will win Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim?
Our statistical model makes Gonsenheim the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Hertha Wiesbach 26%, draw 33%, Gonsenheim 41%.
Will both teams score in Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim?
Expected goals are 0.71 for Hertha Wiesbach and 1.03 for Gonsenheim — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hertha Wiesbach vs Gonsenheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (18%). Double chance for Hertha Wiesbach or draw is 58%.