Hestrafors vs Lindome Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Hestrafors vs Lindome
Model pick: Hestrafors (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.1 – 1.79
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hestrafors | Lindome |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Hestrafors shown at home, Lindome shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hestrafors — last 5
WDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lindome — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hestrafors (home) | Lindome (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.1 vs 1.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Hestrafors or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Lindome or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Hestrafors clean sheet | 17% |
| Lindome clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hestrafors is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Hestrafors are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hestrafors vs Lindome — FAQ
Who will win Hestrafors vs Lindome?
Our statistical model makes Hestrafors the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Hestrafors 44%, draw 22%, Lindome 34%.
Will both teams score in Hestrafors vs Lindome?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hestrafors vs Lindome?
Expected goals are 2.1 for Hestrafors and 1.79 for Lindome — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hestrafors vs Lindome?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Hestrafors or draw is 66%.