Hestrafors vs Qviding Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Hestrafors vs Qviding
Model pick: Qviding (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.95 – 5.37
Total goals: 6.3
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hestrafors | Qviding |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Hestrafors shown at home, Qviding shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hestrafors — last 5
WD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Qviding — last 5
WD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hestrafors (home) | Qviding (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.95 vs 5.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (7%) |
| Double chance — Hestrafors or draw (1X) | 5% |
| Double chance — Qviding or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Hestrafors clean sheet | 1% |
| Qviding clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Qviding is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Despite playing away, Qviding edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.3, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hestrafors vs Qviding — FAQ
Who will win Hestrafors vs Qviding?
Our statistical model makes Qviding the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Hestrafors 3%, draw 5%, Qviding 92%.
Will both teams score in Hestrafors vs Qviding?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hestrafors vs Qviding?
Expected goals are 0.95 for Hestrafors and 5.37 for Qviding — about 6.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hestrafors vs Qviding?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (7%). Double chance for Hestrafors or draw is 5%.