Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.36 – 0.45
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hetman Zamosc | Wislanie Skawina |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 0.6 |
*Hetman Zamosc shown at home, Wislanie Skawina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hetman Zamosc — last 5
LDDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Wislanie Skawina — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hetman Zamosc (home) | Wislanie Skawina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.36 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — Hetman Zamosc or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Wislanie Skawina or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 48% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Hetman Zamosc clean sheet | 64% |
| Wislanie Skawina clean sheet | 70% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina — FAQ
Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Hetman Zamosc 23%, draw 49%, Wislanie Skawina 28%.
Will both teams score in Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina?
Expected goals are 0.36 for Hetman Zamosc and 0.45 for Wislanie Skawina — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hetman Zamosc vs Wislanie Skawina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for Hetman Zamosc or draw is 73%.