Hibernian vs Shkendija Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 06, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Hibernian vs Shkendija
Model pick: Shkendija (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 1.41
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hibernian | Shkendija |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #22 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 0.6 |
*Hibernian shown at home, Shkendija shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hibernian — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Shkendija — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hibernian (home) | Shkendija (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.0 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 1.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Hibernian or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Shkendija or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 24% |
| Shkendija clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shkendija is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Despite playing away, Shkendija edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Hibernian vs Shkendija — FAQ
Who will win Hibernian vs Shkendija?
Our statistical model makes Shkendija the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Hibernian 22%, draw 28%, Shkendija 50%.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
Expected goals are 0.74 for Hibernian and 1.41 for Shkendija — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hibernian vs Shkendija?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Hibernian or draw is 47%.