Hildesheim vs Verden Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hildesheim vs Verden
Model pick: Draw (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 0.45
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hildesheim | Verden |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.25 / 3.5 |
*Hildesheim shown at home, Verden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hildesheim — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Verden — last 5
DLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hildesheim (home) | Verden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Hildesheim or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Verden or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 47% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Hildesheim clean sheet | 64% |
| Verden clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Hildesheim vs Verden — FAQ
Who will win Hildesheim vs Verden?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Hildesheim 22%, draw 50%, Verden 29%.
Will both teams score in Hildesheim vs Verden?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hildesheim vs Verden?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Hildesheim and 0.45 for Verden — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hildesheim vs Verden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (45%). Double chance for Hildesheim or draw is 72%.