Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel
Model pick: Draw (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.27 – 0.07
Total goals: 0.3
Over 2.5: 5%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hodmezovasarhely FC | Csepel |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.5 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
*Hodmezovasarhely FC shown at home, Csepel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hodmezovasarhely FC — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Csepel — last 5
DLD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hodmezovasarhely FC (home) | Csepel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.27 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (71%) |
| Double chance — Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Csepel or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 27% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Hodmezovasarhely FC clean sheet | 93% |
| Csepel clean sheet | 76% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (95% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel — FAQ
Who will win Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Hodmezovasarhely FC 25%, draw 68%, Csepel 7%.
Will both teams score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel?
Expected goals are 0.27 for Hodmezovasarhely FC and 0.07 for Csepel — about 0.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Csepel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (71%). Double chance for Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw is 95%.