Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE
Model pick: III. Keruleti TVE (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 3.2
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hodmezovasarhely FC | III. Keruleti TVE |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.5 | 3.0 / 1.0 |
*Hodmezovasarhely FC shown at home, III. Keruleti TVE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hodmezovasarhely FC — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
III. Keruleti TVE — last 5
WWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hodmezovasarhely FC (home) | III. Keruleti TVE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 3.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (19%) |
| Double chance — Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — III. Keruleti TVE or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Hodmezovasarhely FC clean sheet | 4% |
| III. Keruleti TVE clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
III. Keruleti TVE is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Despite playing away, III. Keruleti TVE edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE — FAQ
Who will win Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE?
Our statistical model makes III. Keruleti TVE the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Hodmezovasarhely FC 2%, draw 8%, III. Keruleti TVE 90%.
Will both teams score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE?
Expected goals are 0.16 for Hodmezovasarhely FC and 3.2 for III. Keruleti TVE — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs III. Keruleti TVE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (19%). Double chance for Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw is 6%.