Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi
Model pick: Hodmezovasarhely FC (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.74 – 0.77
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hodmezovasarhely FC | Sandorfalvi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.6 | 0.6 / 2.8 |
*Hodmezovasarhely FC shown at home, Sandorfalvi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hodmezovasarhely FC — last 5
LDLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandorfalvi — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hodmezovasarhely FC (home) | Sandorfalvi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.74 vs 0.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Sandorfalvi or draw (X2) | 21% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Hodmezovasarhely FC clean sheet | 46% |
| Sandorfalvi clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hodmezovasarhely FC is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Hodmezovasarhely FC are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi — FAQ
Who will win Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi?
Our statistical model makes Hodmezovasarhely FC the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Hodmezovasarhely FC 73%, draw 16%, Sandorfalvi 10%.
Will both teams score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi?
Expected goals are 2.74 for Hodmezovasarhely FC and 0.77 for Sandorfalvi — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hodmezovasarhely FC vs Sandorfalvi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Hodmezovasarhely FC or draw is 92%.