Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B
Model pick: Phonix Lubeck B (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.29 – 4.7
Total goals: 8.0
Over 2.5: 89%
Both teams score: 81%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hohenwestedt | Phonix Lubeck B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.8 | 2.6 / 2.4 |
*Hohenwestedt shown at home, Phonix Lubeck B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hohenwestedt — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Phonix Lubeck B — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hohenwestedt (home) | Phonix Lubeck B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.29 vs 4.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-4 (4%) |
| Double chance — Hohenwestedt or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Phonix Lubeck B or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Hohenwestedt clean sheet | 1% |
| Phonix Lubeck B clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Phonix Lubeck B is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Phonix Lubeck B edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.0, this shapes as an open game (89% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B — FAQ
Who will win Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B?
Our statistical model makes Phonix Lubeck B the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Hohenwestedt 27%, draw 15%, Phonix Lubeck B 58%.
Will both teams score in Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B?
The model gives a 81% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B?
Expected goals are 3.29 for Hohenwestedt and 4.7 for Phonix Lubeck B — about 8.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hohenwestedt vs Phonix Lubeck B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-4 (4%). Double chance for Hohenwestedt or draw is 39%.