Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B
Model pick: Draw (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 75.38 – 36.23
Total goals: 111.6
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 0%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Holstein Kiel II | Phonix Lubeck B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 |
*Holstein Kiel II shown at home, Phonix Lubeck B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Holstein Kiel II — last 5
WD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Phonix Lubeck B — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Holstein Kiel II (home) | Phonix Lubeck B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (75.38 vs 36.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-8 (70%) |
| Double chance — Holstein Kiel II or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Phonix Lubeck B or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 28% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Holstein Kiel II clean sheet | 0% |
| Phonix Lubeck B clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B — FAQ
Who will win Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Holstein Kiel II 26%, draw 62%, Phonix Lubeck B 12%.
Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B?
The model gives a 0% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B?
Expected goals are 75.38 for Holstein Kiel II and 36.23 for Phonix Lubeck B — about 111.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Holstein Kiel II vs Phonix Lubeck B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-8 (70%). Double chance for Holstein Kiel II or draw is 92%.