Holyhead vs Porthmadog Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Holyhead vs Porthmadog
Model pick: Holyhead (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.13 – 1.85
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Holyhead | Porthmadog |
|---|
| League position | #12 (3 pts) | #2 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.75 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Holyhead shown at home, Porthmadog shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Holyhead — last 5
WLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Porthmadog — last 5
WWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Holyhead (home) | Porthmadog (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.5 / 2.5 goals per game) | 2-1-0 in 3 (2.3 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.13 vs 1.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Holyhead or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Porthmadog or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Holyhead clean sheet | 16% |
| Porthmadog clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Holyhead is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Holyhead are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Holyhead vs Porthmadog — FAQ
Who will win Holyhead vs Porthmadog?
Our statistical model makes Holyhead the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Holyhead 43%, draw 22%, Porthmadog 34%.
Will both teams score in Holyhead vs Porthmadog?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Holyhead vs Porthmadog?
Expected goals are 2.13 for Holyhead and 1.85 for Porthmadog — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Holyhead vs Porthmadog?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Holyhead or draw is 66%.