Honka vs NJS Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Honka vs NJS
Model pick: Honka (91%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.76 – 0.32
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Honka | NJS |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 2.0 |
*Honka shown at home, NJS shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Honka — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
NJS — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Honka (home) | NJS (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.95
Home wins: 59%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.76 vs 0.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Honka or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — NJS or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Honka clean sheet | 73% |
| NJS clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Honka is the model's most likely outcome at
91%. Honka are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Honka vs NJS — FAQ
Who will win Honka vs NJS?
Our statistical model makes Honka the most likely result at 91%. Full probabilities: Honka 91%, draw 7%, NJS 2%.
Will both teams score in Honka vs NJS?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Honka vs NJS?
Expected goals are 3.76 for Honka and 0.32 for NJS — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Honka vs NJS?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (15%). Double chance for Honka or draw is 99%.