Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma
Model pick: Honka (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 0.73
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Honka | P-Iirot Rauma |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Honka shown at home, P-Iirot Rauma shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Honka — last 5
DDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
P-Iirot Rauma — last 5
LDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Honka (home) | P-Iirot Rauma (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 0% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.01
Home wins: 59%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Honka or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — P-Iirot Rauma or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Honka clean sheet | 48% |
| P-Iirot Rauma clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Honka is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Honka are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma — FAQ
Who will win Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma?
Our statistical model makes Honka the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Honka 49%, draw 29%, P-Iirot Rauma 22%.
Will both teams score in Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Honka and 0.73 for P-Iirot Rauma — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Honka vs P-Iirot Rauma?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Honka or draw is 80%.