Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Model pick: Honvéd (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Honvéd | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|
| League position | #12 (3 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.5 | 0.0 / 3.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.8 |
*Honvéd shown at home, Zalaegerszegi TE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Honvéd — last 5
LDDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Zalaegerszegi TE — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Honvéd (home) | Zalaegerszegi TE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (2.0 / 2.5 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.0 / 3.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 61% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Honvéd or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi TE or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Honvéd clean sheet | 29% |
| Zalaegerszegi TE clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Honvéd is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Honvéd are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE — FAQ
Who will win Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Our statistical model makes Honvéd the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Honvéd 40%, draw 27%, Zalaegerszegi TE 33%.
Will both teams score in Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Honvéd and 1.25 for Zalaegerszegi TE — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Honvéd or draw is 67%.