Horn vs Parndorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Horn vs Parndorf
Model pick: Parndorf (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.38 – 1.02
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horn | Parndorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 0.8 |
*Horn shown at home, Parndorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horn — last 5
DLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 15% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Parndorf — last 5
WDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horn (home) | Parndorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 15% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 40% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.44
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.38 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (25%) |
| Double chance — Horn or draw (1X) | 49% |
| Double chance — Parndorf or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Horn clean sheet | 36% |
| Parndorf clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Parndorf is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Parndorf edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horn vs Parndorf — FAQ
Who will win Horn vs Parndorf?
Our statistical model makes Parndorf the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Horn 16%, draw 35%, Parndorf 49%.
Will both teams score in Horn vs Parndorf?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Horn vs Parndorf?
Expected goals are 0.38 for Horn and 1.02 for Parndorf — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horn vs Parndorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (25%). Double chance for Horn or draw is 49%.