Horn vs SV Donau Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Horn vs SV Donau
Model pick: SV Donau (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 2.76
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horn | SV Donau |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
*Horn shown at home, SV Donau shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horn — last 5
DDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 15% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
SV Donau — last 5
DLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horn (home) | SV Donau (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 15% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 2.76):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Horn or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — SV Donau or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Horn clean sheet | 6% |
| SV Donau clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SV Donau is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, SV Donau edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horn vs SV Donau — FAQ
Who will win Horn vs SV Donau?
Our statistical model makes SV Donau the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Horn 19%, draw 19%, SV Donau 62%.
Will both teams score in Horn vs SV Donau?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horn vs SV Donau?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Horn and 2.76 for SV Donau — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horn vs SV Donau?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Horn or draw is 33%.