Horovice vs Doubravka Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Horovice vs Doubravka
Model pick: Horovice (70%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.88 – 1.03
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horovice | Doubravka |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.75 | 2.2 / 2.0 |
*Horovice shown at home, Doubravka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horovice — last 5
LDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Doubravka — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horovice (home) | Doubravka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.88 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Horovice or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Doubravka or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Horovice clean sheet | 36% |
| Doubravka clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horovice is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Horovice are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horovice vs Doubravka — FAQ
Who will win Horovice vs Doubravka?
Our statistical model makes Horovice the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Horovice 70%, draw 17%, Doubravka 13%.
Will both teams score in Horovice vs Doubravka?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horovice vs Doubravka?
Expected goals are 2.88 for Horovice and 1.03 for Doubravka — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horovice vs Doubravka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Horovice or draw is 89%.