Horsens vs Brøndby Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Horsens vs Brøndby
Model pick: Brøndby (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 1.74
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsens | Brøndby |
|---|
| League position | #9 (1 pts) | #3 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Horsens shown at home, Brøndby shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsens — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Brøndby — last 5
DWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsens (home) | Brøndby (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Nicolai Vallys (7) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 1.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Brøndby or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 18% |
| Brøndby clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Brøndby is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Brøndby edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsens vs Brøndby — FAQ
Who will win Horsens vs Brøndby?
Our statistical model makes Brøndby the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Horsens 21%, draw 25%, Brøndby 55%.
Will both teams score in Horsens vs Brøndby?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horsens vs Brøndby?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Horsens and 1.74 for Brøndby — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsens vs Brøndby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Horsens or draw is 42%.