Horsens vs Lyngby Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Horsens vs Lyngby
Model pick: Lyngby (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsens | Lyngby |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #11 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Horsens shown at home, Lyngby shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsens — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Lyngby — last 5
WLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsens (home) | Lyngby (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 54% |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.12 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Lyngby or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 34% |
| Lyngby clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lyngby is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Lyngby edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsens vs Lyngby — FAQ
Who will win Horsens vs Lyngby?
Our statistical model makes Lyngby the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Horsens 34%, draw 29%, Lyngby 37%.
Will both teams score in Horsens vs Lyngby?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horsens vs Lyngby?
Expected goals are 1.12 for Horsens and 1.08 for Lyngby — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsens vs Lyngby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Horsens or draw is 66%.