Horsens vs Nordsjælland Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Horsens vs Nordsjælland
Model pick: Nordsjælland (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.97 – 1.92
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsens | Nordsjælland |
|---|
| League position | #7 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Horsens shown at home, Nordsjælland shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsens — last 5
DWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Nordsjælland — last 5
LWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsens (home) | Nordsjælland (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 62% |
| Top scorer | – | Prince Amoako (8) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.97 vs 1.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Nordsjælland or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 15% |
| Nordsjælland clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nordsjælland is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Nordsjælland edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsens vs Nordsjælland — FAQ
Who will win Horsens vs Nordsjælland?
Our statistical model makes Nordsjælland the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Horsens 21%, draw 24%, Nordsjælland 56%.
Will both teams score in Horsens vs Nordsjælland?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horsens vs Nordsjælland?
Expected goals are 0.97 for Horsens and 1.92 for Nordsjælland — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsens vs Nordsjælland?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Horsens or draw is 40%.