Horsens vs Viborg Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
Horsens vs Viborg
Model pick: Viborg (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 1.56
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsens | Viborg |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.0 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
*Horsens shown at home, Viborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsens — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Viborg — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsens (home) | Viborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 52% |
| Top scorer | – | Charly Nouck (6) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Viborg or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 21% |
| Viborg clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Viborg is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Viborg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsens vs Viborg — FAQ
Who will win Horsens vs Viborg?
Our statistical model makes Viborg the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Horsens 27%, draw 27%, Viborg 46%.
Will both teams score in Horsens vs Viborg?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horsens vs Viborg?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Horsens and 1.56 for Viborg — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsens vs Viborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Horsens or draw is 51%.