Horsham FC vs Dag & Red Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Horsham FC vs Dag & Red
Model pick: Horsham FC (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.19 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsham FC | Dag & Red |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Horsham FC shown at home, Dag & Red shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsham FC — last 5
DDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Dag & Red — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 39% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsham FC (home) | Dag & Red (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.19 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Dag & Red or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 38% |
| Dag & Red clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horsham FC is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Horsham FC are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Horsham FC vs Dag & Red — FAQ
Who will win Horsham FC vs Dag & Red?
Our statistical model makes Horsham FC the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Horsham FC 40%, draw 30%, Dag & Red 30%.
Will both teams score in Horsham FC vs Dag & Red?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Horsham FC vs Dag & Red?
Expected goals are 1.19 for Horsham FC and 0.96 for Dag & Red — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsham FC vs Dag & Red?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Horsham FC or draw is 70%.