Horsham FC vs Farnham Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Horsham FC vs Farnham
Model pick: Horsham FC (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 0.63
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsham FC | Farnham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Horsham FC shown at home, Farnham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsham FC — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Farnham — last 5
DLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsham FC (home) | Farnham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 75% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 0.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Farnham or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 53% |
| Farnham clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horsham FC is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Horsham FC are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsham FC vs Farnham — FAQ
Who will win Horsham FC vs Farnham?
Our statistical model makes Horsham FC the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Horsham FC 53%, draw 27%, Farnham 20%.
Will both teams score in Horsham FC vs Farnham?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Horsham FC vs Farnham?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Horsham FC and 0.63 for Farnham — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsham FC vs Farnham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Horsham FC or draw is 86%.