Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond
Model pick: Horsham FC (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.91
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsham FC | Hampton & Richmond |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
*Horsham FC shown at home, Hampton & Richmond shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsham FC — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Hampton & Richmond — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsham FC (home) | Hampton & Richmond (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 54% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Hampton & Richmond or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 40% |
| Hampton & Richmond clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horsham FC is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Horsham FC are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond — FAQ
Who will win Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
Our statistical model makes Horsham FC the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Horsham FC 46%, draw 28%, Hampton & Richmond 26%.
Will both teams score in Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Horsham FC and 0.91 for Hampton & Richmond — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsham FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Horsham FC or draw is 76%.