Horsham FC vs Salisbury Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Horsham FC vs Salisbury
Model pick: Horsham FC (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 0.88
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Horsham FC | Salisbury |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 3.0 / 1.4 |
*Horsham FC shown at home, Salisbury shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Horsham FC — last 5
WWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Salisbury — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Horsham FC (home) | Salisbury (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 51% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Horsham FC or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Salisbury or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Horsham FC clean sheet | 41% |
| Salisbury clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Horsham FC is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Horsham FC are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Horsham FC vs Salisbury — FAQ
Who will win Horsham FC vs Salisbury?
Our statistical model makes Horsham FC the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Horsham FC 44%, draw 30%, Salisbury 27%.
Will both teams score in Horsham FC vs Salisbury?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Horsham FC vs Salisbury?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Horsham FC and 0.88 for Salisbury — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Horsham FC vs Salisbury?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Horsham FC or draw is 74%.