Hradec Králové vs Pardubice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Hradec Králové vs Pardubice
Model pick: Hradec Králové (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.69 – 0.82
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hradec Králové | Pardubice |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
*Hradec Králové shown at home, Pardubice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hradec Králové — last 5
WWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Pardubice — last 5
DDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hradec Králové (home) | Pardubice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Vladimir Darida (5) | Vojtech Patrak (6) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.69 vs 0.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Hradec Králové or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Pardubice or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Hradec Králové clean sheet | 44% |
| Pardubice clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hradec Králové is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Hradec Králové are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hradec Králové vs Pardubice — FAQ
Who will win Hradec Králové vs Pardubice?
Our statistical model makes Hradec Králové the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Hradec Králové 54%, draw 26%, Pardubice 20%.
Will both teams score in Hradec Králové vs Pardubice?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hradec Králové vs Pardubice?
Expected goals are 1.69 for Hradec Králové and 0.82 for Pardubice — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hradec Králové vs Pardubice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Hradec Králové or draw is 82%.