Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice
Model pick: Neratovice (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.78 – 0.88
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hradec Kralove B | Neratovice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 1.2 |
*Hradec Kralove B shown at home, Neratovice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hradec Kralove B — last 5
LWDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Neratovice — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 83% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hradec Kralove B (home) | Neratovice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 83% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.78 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Hradec Kralove B or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Neratovice or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Hradec Kralove B clean sheet | 41% |
| Neratovice clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Neratovice is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Neratovice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice — FAQ
Who will win Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice?
Our statistical model makes Neratovice the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Hradec Kralove B 30%, draw 34%, Neratovice 35%.
Will both teams score in Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice?
Expected goals are 0.78 for Hradec Kralove B and 0.88 for Neratovice — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hradec Kralove B vs Neratovice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (19%). Double chance for Hradec Kralove B or draw is 64%.