Huarte vs Mutilvera Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Huarte vs Mutilvera
Model pick: Huarte (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.23
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Huarte | Mutilvera |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Huarte shown at home, Mutilvera shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Huarte — last 5
WWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Mutilvera — last 5
DWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Huarte (home) | Mutilvera (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 43% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Huarte or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Mutilvera or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Huarte clean sheet | 29% |
| Mutilvera clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Huarte is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Huarte are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Huarte vs Mutilvera — FAQ
Who will win Huarte vs Mutilvera?
Our statistical model makes Huarte the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Huarte 42%, draw 27%, Mutilvera 32%.
Will both teams score in Huarte vs Mutilvera?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Huarte vs Mutilvera?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Huarte and 1.23 for Mutilvera — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Huarte vs Mutilvera?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Huarte or draw is 69%.