Hummetroth vs Hunfelder Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hummetroth vs Hunfelder
Model pick: Hunfelder (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.84 – 6.87
Total goals: 7.7
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hummetroth | Hunfelder |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
*Hummetroth shown at home, Hunfelder shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hummetroth — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Hunfelder — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hummetroth (home) | Hunfelder (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.84 vs 6.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-6 (9%) |
| Double chance — Hummetroth or draw (1X) | 2% |
| Double chance — Hunfelder or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Hummetroth clean sheet | 0% |
| Hunfelder clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hunfelder is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Despite playing away, Hunfelder edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.7, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hummetroth vs Hunfelder — FAQ
Who will win Hummetroth vs Hunfelder?
Our statistical model makes Hunfelder the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Hummetroth 1%, draw 2%, Hunfelder 97%.
Will both teams score in Hummetroth vs Hunfelder?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hummetroth vs Hunfelder?
Expected goals are 0.84 for Hummetroth and 6.87 for Hunfelder — about 7.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hummetroth vs Hunfelder?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-6 (9%). Double chance for Hummetroth or draw is 2%.