Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach
Model pick: Unter-Flockenbach (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 3.97
Total goals: 5.4
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hummetroth | Unter-Flockenbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 4.0 | 4.0 / 1.0 |
*Hummetroth shown at home, Unter-Flockenbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hummetroth — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Unter-Flockenbach — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hummetroth (home) | Unter-Flockenbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.29
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 3.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (7%) |
| Double chance — Hummetroth or draw (1X) | 19% |
| Double chance — Unter-Flockenbach or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Hummetroth clean sheet | 2% |
| Unter-Flockenbach clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Unter-Flockenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Despite playing away, Unter-Flockenbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.4, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach — FAQ
Who will win Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach?
Our statistical model makes Unter-Flockenbach the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Hummetroth 11%, draw 13%, Unter-Flockenbach 76%.
Will both teams score in Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Hummetroth and 3.97 for Unter-Flockenbach — about 5.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hummetroth vs Unter-Flockenbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (7%). Double chance for Hummetroth or draw is 19%.