Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II
Model pick: Legia II (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.71
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hutnik Kraków | Legia II |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Hutnik Kraków shown at home, Legia II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
LDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Legia II — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hutnik Kraków (home) | Legia II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 75% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 1.71):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Legia II or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 18% |
| Legia II clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Legia II is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Legia II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II — FAQ
Who will win Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II?
Our statistical model makes Legia II the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Hutnik Kraków 32%, draw 25%, Legia II 43%.
Will both teams score in Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Hutnik Kraków and 1.71 for Legia II — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hutnik Kraków vs Legia II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Hutnik Kraków or draw is 55%.