Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola
Model pick: Hutnik Kraków (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.27
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hutnik Kraków | Stal Stalowa Wola |
|---|
| League position | #1 (11 pts) | #12 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Hutnik Kraków shown at home, Stal Stalowa Wola shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Stal Stalowa Wola — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hutnik Kraków (home) | Stal Stalowa Wola (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 42% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 28% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hutnik Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Hutnik Kraków are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola — FAQ
Who will win Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our statistical model makes Hutnik Kraków the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Hutnik Kraków 36%, draw 28%, Stal Stalowa Wola 36%.
Will both teams score in Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Hutnik Kraków and 1.27 for Stal Stalowa Wola — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hutnik Kraków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Hutnik Kraków or draw is 63%.